Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Robert Kenyon 82%
Andy Burnham 7.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 거래량
$56,354 거래량
2026.06.18
Robert Kenyon
82%
Andy Burnham
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
6%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 82%
Andy Burnham 7.0%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$56,354 거래량
$56,354 거래량
2026.06.18
Robert Kenyon
$4,401 거래량
82%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 거래량
7%
Rebecca Shepherd
$45,062 거래량
6%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 거래량
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,074 거래량
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 거래량
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 거래량
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
거래량
$56,354종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
거래량
$56,354종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate confirmations position Reform UK's Robert Kenyon as the clear frontrunner for second place in the 18 June Makerfield by-election. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, selected as Labour's candidate, holds a narrow lead in constituency surveys, while generic Westminster voting intention favors Reform. Kenyon, a local plumber and 2024 candidate, benefits from this dynamic and national momentum for his party. Other contenders, including Rebecca Shepherd, trail significantly in limited polling and lack comparable visibility or organizational backing ahead of nominations closing and the final campaign week. The by-election follows the resignation of the previous Labour MP.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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