The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein associations, underpins trader expectations that no prison sentence will occur by the market's December 2026 resolution. UK authorities released him under ongoing investigation with no prosecution initiated, and standard timelines for charging, trial, and sentencing in such cases make completion within the window improbable. While the offense carries a theoretical life sentence, historical precedents show shorter penalties even upon conviction, and no active court proceedings exist to trigger resolution. This procedural status reinforces the current 92.5% implied probability for no outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$209,728 거래량
$209,728 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$209,728 거래량
$209,728 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein associations, underpins trader expectations that no prison sentence will occur by the market's December 2026 resolution. UK authorities released him under ongoing investigation with no prosecution initiated, and standard timelines for charging, trial, and sentencing in such cases make completion within the window improbable. While the offense carries a theoretical life sentence, historical precedents show shorter penalties even upon conviction, and no active court proceedings exist to trigger resolution. This procedural status reinforces the current 92.5% implied probability for no outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
거래량
$209,728종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein associations, underpins trader expectations that no prison sentence will occur by the market's December 2026 resolution. UK authorities released him under ongoing investigation with no prosecution initiated, and standard timelines for charging, trial, and sentencing in such cases make completion within the window improbable. While the offense carries a theoretical life sentence, historical precedents show shorter penalties even upon conviction, and no active court proceedings exist to trigger resolution. This procedural status reinforces the current 92.5% implied probability for no outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$209,728종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to prior Epstein associations, underpins trader expectations that no prison sentence will occur by the market's December 2026 resolution. UK authorities released him under ongoing investigation with no prosecution initiated, and standard timelines for charging, trial, and sentencing in such cases make completion within the window improbable. While the offense carries a theoretical life sentence, historical precedents show shorter penalties even upon conviction, and no active court proceedings exist to trigger resolution. This procedural status reinforces the current 92.5% implied probability for no outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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