Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$552,038 거래량
$552,038 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$552,038 거래량
$552,038 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
거래량
$552,038종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$552,038종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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