The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년에 공개되지 않음 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
벤 카슨 3.7%
도널드 트럼프 1.1%
$13,373 거래량
$13,373 거래량
2026.12.31
2026년에 공개되지 않음
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
11%
벤 카슨
4%
도널드 트럼프
1%
테드 크루즈
<1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
랜드 폴
<1%
2026년에 공개되지 않음 80%
Gwendolyn Beck 10.8%
벤 카슨 3.7%
도널드 트럼프 1.1%
$13,373 거래량
$13,373 거래량
2026.12.31
2026년에 공개되지 않음
$3,977 거래량
81%
Gwendolyn Beck
$1,311 거래량
11%
벤 카슨
$1,840 거래량
4%
도널드 트럼프
$1,662 거래량
1%
테드 크루즈
$1,658 거래량
<1%
마르코 루비오
$1,706 거래량
<1%
랜드 폴
$1,219 거래량
<1%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$13,373종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$13,373종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The February 2016 email to Jeffrey Epstein with the subject line “I beat Bush,” which brags about outperforming Jeb Bush in the Iowa caucuses from a single congressional district, remains redacted in official files despite Rep. Ro Khanna’s February 12, 2026, release of the document and call for full disclosure. Traders assign 80.5% probability to no confirmation by year-end because the Department of Justice has issued no unredaction, FOIA response, or court-ordered release in the intervening months. Gwendolyn Beck receives the next-highest share at 10.8% following isolated reporting and community notes identifying her as the sender, while lower-priced names such as Ben Carson, Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul reflect earlier online speculation tied to 2016 primary vote tallies rather than new evidence. No scheduled hearings or document deadlines are currently positioned to alter these probabilities before December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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