President Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트<20 87%
20-39 87%
60-79 44%
80-99 44%
<20
87%
20-39
87%
40-59
44%
60-79
44%
80-99
44%
100-119
44%
120-139
44%
140-159
44%
160-179
44%
180-199
44%
200+
44%
<20 87%
20-39 87%
60-79 44%
80-99 44%
<20
87%
20-39
87%
40-59
44%
60-79
44%
80-99
44%
100-119
44%
120-139
44%
140-159
44%
160-179
44%
180-199
44%
200+
44%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
President Trump's schedule for early July 2026 features several high-profile events, including a July 3 visit to Mount Rushmore for the 250th anniversary, July 4 celebrations in Washington, and travel to the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7-8. These commitments introduce uncertainty around his typical high-volume Truth Social activity, which has averaged around 18 posts daily in prior periods but spikes significantly during active news cycles or domestic-focused stretches. The tightly clustered market probabilities across volume buckets reflect trader assessments of how travel logistics, official duties, and any concurrent developments might moderate or sustain his posting pace, with outcomes hinging on the intensity of real-time reactions and event-driven commentary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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