Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly tabled or defeated Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple measures tied to executive actions on Iran in 2025-2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction. No credible developments point to resignation, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment, or other removal mechanisms before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects this institutional barrier, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises that would alter the timeline. Midterm outcomes later in 2026 remain a potential variable but have not shifted probabilities meaningfully yet.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$9,301,352 거래량
$9,301,352 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$9,301,352 거래량
$9,301,352 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly tabled or defeated Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple measures tied to executive actions on Iran in 2025-2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction. No credible developments point to resignation, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment, or other removal mechanisms before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects this institutional barrier, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises that would alter the timeline. Midterm outcomes later in 2026 remain a potential variable but have not shifted probabilities meaningfully yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$9,301,352종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly tabled or defeated Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple measures tied to executive actions on Iran in 2025-2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction. No credible developments point to resignation, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment, or other removal mechanisms before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects this institutional barrier, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises that would alter the timeline. Midterm outcomes later in 2026 remain a potential variable but have not shifted probabilities meaningfully yet.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$9,301,352종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly tabled or defeated Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple measures tied to executive actions on Iran in 2025-2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction. No credible developments point to resignation, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment, or other removal mechanisms before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects this institutional barrier, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises that would alter the timeline. Midterm outcomes later in 2026 remain a potential variable but have not shifted probabilities meaningfully yet.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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