President Donald Trump's active international schedule, including his arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping after departing the White House on May 12, reinforces trader consensus at 88.5% "No," implying low risk of him ceasing to serve before 2027. No formal impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals have advanced in the past 30 days, despite partisan resolutions floated in April amid low approval ratings and midterm warnings. Historical base rates for early presidential exits remain low—via death, resignation, or removal—absent major scandals or health events. Traders price in 2026 midterms as a tail risk for House control shifts, but current stability dominates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$8,329,270 거래량
$8,329,270 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$8,329,270 거래량
$8,329,270 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's active international schedule, including his arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping after departing the White House on May 12, reinforces trader consensus at 88.5% "No," implying low risk of him ceasing to serve before 2027. No formal impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals have advanced in the past 30 days, despite partisan resolutions floated in April amid low approval ratings and midterm warnings. Historical base rates for early presidential exits remain low—via death, resignation, or removal—absent major scandals or health events. Traders price in 2026 midterms as a tail risk for House control shifts, but current stability dominates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$8,329,270종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's active international schedule, including his arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping after departing the White House on May 12, reinforces trader consensus at 88.5% "No," implying low risk of him ceasing to serve before 2027. No formal impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals have advanced in the past 30 days, despite partisan resolutions floated in April amid low approval ratings and midterm warnings. Historical base rates for early presidential exits remain low—via death, resignation, or removal—absent major scandals or health events. Traders price in 2026 midterms as a tail risk for House control shifts, but current stability dominates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$8,329,270종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's active international schedule, including his arrival in Beijing on May 13, 2026, for a summit with Xi Jinping after departing the White House on May 12, reinforces trader consensus at 88.5% "No," implying low risk of him ceasing to serve before 2027. No formal impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals have advanced in the past 30 days, despite partisan resolutions floated in April amid low approval ratings and midterm warnings. Historical base rates for early presidential exits remain low—via death, resignation, or removal—absent major scandals or health events. Traders price in 2026 midterms as a tail risk for House control shifts, but current stability dominates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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