Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Andy Burnham as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability to become the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, driven by Keir Starmer's deepening leadership crisis following Labour's disastrous local election losses last week, which prompted Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and calls to quit from nearly 90 MPs and multiple cabinet ministers. Burnham, Greater Manchester mayor and popular "King of the North," has cleared a path to Westminster via a potential Makerfield by-election after MP Josh Simons announced his resignation to accommodate him, aligning with bookmakers' odds-on favoritism. A 26% chance of no new PM reflects Starmer's defiance amid party pressure, while Angela Rayner (12%) and Ed Miliband (8%) trail as soft-left alternatives in ongoing succession speculation. Upcoming by-election and leadership challenge procedural votes could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트앤디 버넘 42.3%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 26%
앤젤라 레이너 12%
에드 밀리밴드 8.3%
$6,728,676 거래량
$6,728,676 거래량
앤디 버넘
42%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
26%
앤젤라 레이너
12%
에드 밀리밴드
8%
웨스 스트리팅
6%
알 칸즈
2%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
나이절 파라지
1%
레이첼 리브스
1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
루시 파월
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
앤디 버넘 42.3%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 26%
앤젤라 레이너 12%
에드 밀리밴드 8.3%
$6,728,676 거래량
$6,728,676 거래량
앤디 버넘
42%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
26%
앤젤라 레이너
12%
에드 밀리밴드
8%
웨스 스트리팅
6%
알 칸즈
2%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
나이절 파라지
1%
레이첼 리브스
1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
루시 파월
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Andy Burnham as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability to become the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, driven by Keir Starmer's deepening leadership crisis following Labour's disastrous local election losses last week, which prompted Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and calls to quit from nearly 90 MPs and multiple cabinet ministers. Burnham, Greater Manchester mayor and popular "King of the North," has cleared a path to Westminster via a potential Makerfield by-election after MP Josh Simons announced his resignation to accommodate him, aligning with bookmakers' odds-on favoritism. A 26% chance of no new PM reflects Starmer's defiance amid party pressure, while Angela Rayner (12%) and Ed Miliband (8%) trail as soft-left alternatives in ongoing succession speculation. Upcoming by-election and leadership challenge procedural votes could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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