Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing him at 68 percent or higher in first-round simulations and double-digit margins over fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio. His position reflects sustained support in the state's conservative electorate, strong performance in the 2022 runoff, and alignment with agribusiness and right-leaning coalitions ahead of the single-round vote on October 4. Trader consensus at 91 percent probability incorporates these consistent polling trends and the absence of viable opposition consolidation. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in national political alliances could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조르지뉴 멜루 91%
마르셀로 브리가데이루 6%
아프라니우 보프프레 2.4%
조앙 호드리게스 2.2%
신규
신규
조르지뉴 멜루
91%
마르셀로 브리가데이루
6%
아프라니우 보프프레
2%
조앙 호드리게스
2%
데시오 리마
1%
아드리아누 실바
1%
겔송 메리지우
1%
마르코스 비에이라
<1%
조르지뉴 멜루 91%
마르셀로 브리가데이루 6%
아프라니우 보프프레 2.4%
조앙 호드리게스 2.2%
신규
신규
조르지뉴 멜루
$4,890 거래량
91%
마르셀로 브리가데이루
$1,051 거래량
6%
아프라니우 보프프레
$445 거래량
2%
조앙 호드리게스
$365 거래량
2%
데시오 리마
$511 거래량
1%
아드리아누 실바
$403 거래량
1%
겔송 메리지우
$542 거래량
1%
마르코스 비에이라
$461 거래량
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing him at 68 percent or higher in first-round simulations and double-digit margins over fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio. His position reflects sustained support in the state's conservative electorate, strong performance in the 2022 runoff, and alignment with agribusiness and right-leaning coalitions ahead of the single-round vote on October 4. Trader consensus at 91 percent probability incorporates these consistent polling trends and the absence of viable opposition consolidation. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in national political alliances could still alter the trajectory before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
거래량
$8,607마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing him at 68 percent or higher in first-round simulations and double-digit margins over fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio. His position reflects sustained support in the state's conservative electorate, strong performance in the 2022 runoff, and alignment with agribusiness and right-leaning coalitions ahead of the single-round vote on October 4. Trader consensus at 91 percent probability incorporates these consistent polling trends and the absence of viable opposition consolidation. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in national political alliances could still alter the trajectory before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$8,607마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing him at 68 percent or higher in first-round simulations and double-digit margins over fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio. His position reflects sustained support in the state's conservative electorate, strong performance in the 2022 runoff, and alignment with agribusiness and right-leaning coalitions ahead of the single-round vote on October 4. Trader consensus at 91 percent probability incorporates these consistent polling trends and the absence of viable opposition consolidation. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in national political alliances could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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