Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting the ongoing easing cycle that began with 25 basis point cuts in March and April to the current 14.50% level. Moderating GDP growth and resilient but cooling labor market conditions have supported this positioning despite headline IPCA inflation remaining above the 3% target midpoint and 2026 expectations climbing toward 4.9%. Geopolitical uncertainty from the Middle East conflict has kept the committee data-dependent and cautious, tempering no-change odds at 24.3% while virtually eliminating any hike probability. The April IPCA release and latest Focus survey will be key ahead of the mid-June decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 75%
변경 없음 24.5%
인상 <1%
$139,683 거래량
$139,683 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
1%
변경 없음
25%
인하
75%
인하 75%
변경 없음 24.5%
인상 <1%
$139,683 거래량
$139,683 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
$41,168 거래량
1%
변경 없음
$36,309 거래량
25%
인하
$62,206 거래량
75%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting the ongoing easing cycle that began with 25 basis point cuts in March and April to the current 14.50% level. Moderating GDP growth and resilient but cooling labor market conditions have supported this positioning despite headline IPCA inflation remaining above the 3% target midpoint and 2026 expectations climbing toward 4.9%. Geopolitical uncertainty from the Middle East conflict has kept the committee data-dependent and cautious, tempering no-change odds at 24.3% while virtually eliminating any hike probability. The April IPCA release and latest Focus survey will be key ahead of the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
거래량
$139,683종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting the ongoing easing cycle that began with 25 basis point cuts in March and April to the current 14.50% level. Moderating GDP growth and resilient but cooling labor market conditions have supported this positioning despite headline IPCA inflation remaining above the 3% target midpoint and 2026 expectations climbing toward 4.9%. Geopolitical uncertainty from the Middle East conflict has kept the committee data-dependent and cautious, tempering no-change odds at 24.3% while virtually eliminating any hike probability. The April IPCA release and latest Focus survey will be key ahead of the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$139,683종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 75% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June Copom meeting, reflecting the ongoing easing cycle that began with 25 basis point cuts in March and April to the current 14.50% level. Moderating GDP growth and resilient but cooling labor market conditions have supported this positioning despite headline IPCA inflation remaining above the 3% target midpoint and 2026 expectations climbing toward 4.9%. Geopolitical uncertainty from the Middle East conflict has kept the committee data-dependent and cautious, tempering no-change odds at 24.3% while virtually eliminating any hike probability. The April IPCA release and latest Focus survey will be key ahead of the mid-June decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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