Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI year-over-year market clusters tightly around 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30%, 4.3% at 29%, and 4.2% at 23%, reflecting yesterday's hotter-than-expected April print of 3.8% versus 3.7% consensus and up from March's 3.3%. Surging energy costs—gasoline up 28.4% annually—drove the acceleration, elevating Cleveland Fed nowcasts to 4.18% for May amid volatile commodity pressures. The closely contested odds highlight uncertainty between headline inflation's energy sensitivity and stickier core components, with traders pricing swing factors like ongoing oil price momentum and shelter costs. Resolution awaits the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트≥4.4% 30%
4.3% 29%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 10%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
3.3% 이하
1%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
2%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
10%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
29%
≥4.4%
30%
≥4.4% 30%
4.3% 29%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 10%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
3.3% 이하
$185 거래량
1%
3.4%
$115 거래량
1%
3.5%
$461 거래량
2%
3.6%
$236 거래량
1%
3.7%
$240 거래량
3%
3.8%
$141 거래량
2%
3.9%
$239 거래량
4%
4.0%
$343 거래량
2%
4.1%
$1,286 거래량
10%
4.2%
$232 거래량
23%
4.3%
$232 거래량
29%
≥4.4%
$1,666 거래량
30%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI year-over-year market clusters tightly around 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30%, 4.3% at 29%, and 4.2% at 23%, reflecting yesterday's hotter-than-expected April print of 3.8% versus 3.7% consensus and up from March's 3.3%. Surging energy costs—gasoline up 28.4% annually—drove the acceleration, elevating Cleveland Fed nowcasts to 4.18% for May amid volatile commodity pressures. The closely contested odds highlight uncertainty between headline inflation's energy sensitivity and stickier core components, with traders pricing swing factors like ongoing oil price momentum and shelter costs. Resolution awaits the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
거래량
$5,375종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI year-over-year market clusters tightly around 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30%, 4.3% at 29%, and 4.2% at 23%, reflecting yesterday's hotter-than-expected April print of 3.8% versus 3.7% consensus and up from March's 3.3%. Surging energy costs—gasoline up 28.4% annually—drove the acceleration, elevating Cleveland Fed nowcasts to 4.18% for May amid volatile commodity pressures. The closely contested odds highlight uncertainty between headline inflation's energy sensitivity and stickier core components, with traders pricing swing factors like ongoing oil price momentum and shelter costs. Resolution awaits the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$5,375종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's May US CPI year-over-year market clusters tightly around 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30%, 4.3% at 29%, and 4.2% at 23%, reflecting yesterday's hotter-than-expected April print of 3.8% versus 3.7% consensus and up from March's 3.3%. Surging energy costs—gasoline up 28.4% annually—drove the acceleration, elevating Cleveland Fed nowcasts to 4.18% for May amid volatile commodity pressures. The closely contested odds highlight uncertainty between headline inflation's energy sensitivity and stickier core components, with traders pricing swing factors like ongoing oil price momentum and shelter costs. Resolution awaits the June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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