U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026, have driven beef production down to a USDA-projected 25.55 billion pounds, fueling retail ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April per BLS Consumer Price Index data—a 19% year-over-year increase. Tight supplies persist amid lean cow slaughter and steady demand, with USDA forecasting 7.8% wholesale beef price gains for 2026 (prediction interval -6.6% to +25.4%). Polymarket's trader consensus, backed by $18K+ volume, embeds these fundamentals into market-implied odds favoring upside amid summer grilling pressures. Watch BLS May CPI on June 12 and USDA Cattle Inventory report July 24 for supply signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,653 거래량
2026.12.31
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
50%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,653 거래량
$7.000+
$50 거래량
76%
$8.000+
$1,474 거래량
50%
$9.000+
$22 거래량
38%
$10.000+
$17,107 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026, have driven beef production down to a USDA-projected 25.55 billion pounds, fueling retail ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April per BLS Consumer Price Index data—a 19% year-over-year increase. Tight supplies persist amid lean cow slaughter and steady demand, with USDA forecasting 7.8% wholesale beef price gains for 2026 (prediction interval -6.6% to +25.4%). Polymarket's trader consensus, backed by $18K+ volume, embeds these fundamentals into market-implied odds favoring upside amid summer grilling pressures. Watch BLS May CPI on June 12 and USDA Cattle Inventory report July 24 for supply signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$18,653종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026, have driven beef production down to a USDA-projected 25.55 billion pounds, fueling retail ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April per BLS Consumer Price Index data—a 19% year-over-year increase. Tight supplies persist amid lean cow slaughter and steady demand, with USDA forecasting 7.8% wholesale beef price gains for 2026 (prediction interval -6.6% to +25.4%). Polymarket's trader consensus, backed by $18K+ volume, embeds these fundamentals into market-implied odds favoring upside amid summer grilling pressures. Watch BLS May CPI on June 12 and USDA Cattle Inventory report July 24 for supply signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$18,653종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1, 2026, have driven beef production down to a USDA-projected 25.55 billion pounds, fueling retail ground beef prices to $6.899 per pound in April per BLS Consumer Price Index data—a 19% year-over-year increase. Tight supplies persist amid lean cow slaughter and steady demand, with USDA forecasting 7.8% wholesale beef price gains for 2026 (prediction interval -6.6% to +25.4%). Polymarket's trader consensus, backed by $18K+ volume, embeds these fundamentals into market-implied odds favoring upside amid summer grilling pressures. Watch BLS May CPI on June 12 and USDA Cattle Inventory report July 24 for supply signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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