Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트35–39.9% 27.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 18.1%
신규
신규
2027.01.10
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
26%
30.0-34.9%
28%
35–39.9%
27%
40-44.9%
18%
45%+
7%
35–39.9% 27.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 18.1%
신규
신규
2027.01.10
<20%
$2,516 거래량
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 거래량
17%
25-29.9%
$1,626 거래량
26%
30.0-34.9%
$976 거래량
28%
35–39.9%
$1,094 거래량
27%
40-44.9%
$928 거래량
18%
45%+
$1,156 거래량
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
거래량
$9,725종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$9,725종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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