China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.1 – 1.5% 50%
0.6 – 1.0% 25%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.0%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 거래량
$40,788 거래량
2027.01.10
-1.0% 미만
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
2%
0.6 – 1.0%
25%
1.1 – 1.5%
44%
1.6 – 2.0%
18%
2.0-2.4%
10%
2.5% 이상
9%
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
0.6 – 1.0% 25%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.0%
2.0-2.4% 13.4%
$40,788 거래량
$40,788 거래량
2027.01.10
-1.0% 미만
$17,491 거래량
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 거래량
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 거래량
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,851 거래량
2%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 거래량
25%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,463 거래량
44%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 거래량
18%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 거래량
10%
2.5% 이상
$2,542 거래량
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
거래량
$40,788종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
거래량
$40,788종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s CPI readings have clustered around 1.0–1.3% year-over-year through April 2026, with the latest April print at 1.2% beating consensus amid elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. This recent trajectory underpins the market’s 45% implied probability for a full-year 2026 outturn in the 1.1–1.5% band, as traders weigh persistent weakness in food and housing prices against imported cost pressures that have lifted producer prices to their highest level in three years. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.2%, reflecting tepid domestic demand, while consensus forecasts for the annual average range from 0.6% to 1.2% depending on oil-price assumptions. Market-implied odds therefore embed the view that further energy-price volatility or policy easing could shift the outcome within the current leading range before year-end data finalize the average.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문