Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 80,000—have created closely matched trader probabilities across low-to-moderate June outcomes, with 0–50k and 50–100k buckets leading at 44% and 43% implied odds. The resilient labor market, featuring stable 4.3% unemployment and upward revisions, has reduced near-term rate-cut expectations and introduced uncertainty about whether June hiring will moderate toward the sub-100k range or sustain momentum amid persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include upcoming economic releases, seasonal adjustments, and any shifts in Fed communications ahead of the July report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0 – 5만 44%
20만+ 41%
5만 – 10만 40%
15만~20만 37%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
<0
11%
0 – 5만
44%
5만 – 10만
40%
10만 – 15만
37%
15만~20만
37%
20만+
41%
0 – 5만 44%
20만+ 41%
5만 – 10만 40%
15만~20만 37%
신규
신규
2026.07.03
<0
$51 거래량
11%
0 – 5만
$41 거래량
44%
5만 – 10만
$0 거래량
40%
10만 – 15만
$40 거래량
37%
15만~20만
$0 거래량
37%
20만+
$0 거래량
41%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 80,000—have created closely matched trader probabilities across low-to-moderate June outcomes, with 0–50k and 50–100k buckets leading at 44% and 43% implied odds. The resilient labor market, featuring stable 4.3% unemployment and upward revisions, has reduced near-term rate-cut expectations and introduced uncertainty about whether June hiring will moderate toward the sub-100k range or sustain momentum amid persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include upcoming economic releases, seasonal adjustments, and any shifts in Fed communications ahead of the July report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
거래량
$132종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 80,000—have created closely matched trader probabilities across low-to-moderate June outcomes, with 0–50k and 50–100k buckets leading at 44% and 43% implied odds. The resilient labor market, featuring stable 4.3% unemployment and upward revisions, has reduced near-term rate-cut expectations and introduced uncertainty about whether June hiring will moderate toward the sub-100k range or sustain momentum amid persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include upcoming economic releases, seasonal adjustments, and any shifts in Fed communications ahead of the July report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
거래량
$132종료일
2026.07.03마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000—well above consensus estimates near 80,000—have created closely matched trader probabilities across low-to-moderate June outcomes, with 0–50k and 50–100k buckets leading at 44% and 43% implied odds. The resilient labor market, featuring stable 4.3% unemployment and upward revisions, has reduced near-term rate-cut expectations and introduced uncertainty about whether June hiring will moderate toward the sub-100k range or sustain momentum amid persistent inflation pressures. Key swing factors include upcoming economic releases, seasonal adjustments, and any shifts in Fed communications ahead of the July report.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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