Canada's annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced by traders with the 2.5–2.9% range holding the highest implied probability at 46.1%, reflecting the Bank of Canada's April 2026 Monetary Policy Report upward revision to a 2.3% average. This shift stems primarily from the sharp March CPI jump to 2.4% year-over-year, driven by a surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, which lifted gasoline costs and pushed headline readings above the 2% target. Core measures remain contained near 2.2%, supported by excess supply in the economy and soft labor demand, while April data are expected near 3% before easing. The outlook hinges on whether oil-price pressures prove transitory or broaden into sustained wage and price momentum through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.1%
2.0~2.4% 20.0%
1.0~1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 거래량
$16,408 거래량
1.0% 미만
1%
1.0~1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0~2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
52%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0% 이상
33%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.1%
2.0~2.4% 20.0%
1.0~1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 거래량
$16,408 거래량
1.0% 미만
1%
1.0~1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0~2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
52%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0% 이상
33%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Canada's annual inflation rate for 2026 is currently priced by traders with the 2.5–2.9% range holding the highest implied probability at 46.1%, reflecting the Bank of Canada's April 2026 Monetary Policy Report upward revision to a 2.3% average. This shift stems primarily from the sharp March CPI jump to 2.4% year-over-year, driven by a surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, which lifted gasoline costs and pushed headline readings above the 2% target. Core measures remain contained near 2.2%, supported by excess supply in the economy and soft labor demand, while April data are expected near 3% before easing. The outlook hinges on whether oil-price pressures prove transitory or broaden into sustained wage and price momentum through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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