Trader sentiment for Argentina's May monthly inflation centers on the 2.2–2.4% range at 52% implied probability, reflecting April's 2.6% month-on-month print and the ongoing deceleration from March's 3.0% level. This positioning stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and central bank efforts to accumulate reserves, which have lowered annual inflation from over 200% in early 2024 toward a 30.5% 2026 median forecast per recent central bank surveys. While monthly rates remain above the government's longer-term target, the 2.5% consensus among economists supports the tight clustering around sub-2.5% outcomes, with the May data release expected in mid-June serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2.2–2.4% 54%
2.5–2.7% 31%
3.1–3.3% 26%
3.4–3.6% 22%
$46,598 거래량
$46,598 거래량
≤2.1%
22%
2.2–2.4%
52%
2.5–2.7%
31%
2.8–3.0%
6%
3.1–3.3%
26%
3.4–3.6%
22%
3.7–3.9%
20%
4.0%+
10%
2.2–2.4% 54%
2.5–2.7% 31%
3.1–3.3% 26%
3.4–3.6% 22%
$46,598 거래량
$46,598 거래량
≤2.1%
22%
2.2–2.4%
52%
2.5–2.7%
31%
2.8–3.0%
6%
3.1–3.3%
26%
3.4–3.6%
22%
3.7–3.9%
20%
4.0%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Argentina's May monthly inflation centers on the 2.2–2.4% range at 52% implied probability, reflecting April's 2.6% month-on-month print and the ongoing deceleration from March's 3.0% level. This positioning stems from President Milei's fiscal austerity and central bank efforts to accumulate reserves, which have lowered annual inflation from over 200% in early 2024 toward a 30.5% 2026 median forecast per recent central bank surveys. While monthly rates remain above the government's longer-term target, the 2.5% consensus among economists supports the tight clustering around sub-2.5% outcomes, with the May data release expected in mid-June serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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