Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$56,998 거래량
$56,998 거래량
2026.12.31
$56,998 거래량
$56,998 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
거래량
$56,998종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$56,998종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic surpasses OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run-rate—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—and surging secondary market trading where Anthropic shares recently hit $1 trillion on platforms like Forge Global, outpacing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. Key catalysts include Anthropic's talks for a $30–50 billion raise at $900 billion–$1 trillion pre-money, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models amid FOMO-driven share scarcity, while OpenAI secondary demand cools. Upcoming model releases like Claude Opus 4.7 and GPT-5.5, plus Q2 revenue disclosures, could solidify or challenge this lead in the intensifying AI valuation race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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