Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a potential debut as early as October. The Claude AI developer, fresh off a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation in February and private-market trades topping $1 trillion in April, has discussed banker engagements for a late-2026 listing, but the compressed six-week timeline leaves no room for SEC review, roadshows, or pricing at sky-high targets like $900 billion. While explosive revenue growth—80x in Q1—bolsters long-term IPO prospects, regulatory hurdles and market volatility could delay further; a surprise confidential filing might challenge this, though historical AI lab timelines make it improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 98.4%
6,000억+ <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
<1,000억 <1%
$1,264,823 거래량
$1,264,823 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
1%
4,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
98%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 98.4%
6,000억+ <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
<1,000억 <1%
$1,264,823 거래량
$1,264,823 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$252,438 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$89,677 거래량
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
$145,622 거래량
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
$97,009 거래량
1%
4,000억~6,000억
$156,411 거래량
<1%
6,000억+
$282,894 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$240,772 거래량
98%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a potential debut as early as October. The Claude AI developer, fresh off a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation in February and private-market trades topping $1 trillion in April, has discussed banker engagements for a late-2026 listing, but the compressed six-week timeline leaves no room for SEC review, roadshows, or pricing at sky-high targets like $900 billion. While explosive revenue growth—80x in Q1—bolsters long-term IPO prospects, regulatory hurdles and market volatility could delay further; a surprise confidential filing might challenge this, though historical AI lab timelines make it improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,264,823종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a potential debut as early as October. The Claude AI developer, fresh off a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation in February and private-market trades topping $1 trillion in April, has discussed banker engagements for a late-2026 listing, but the compressed six-week timeline leaves no room for SEC review, roadshows, or pricing at sky-high targets like $900 billion. While explosive revenue growth—80x in Q1—bolsters long-term IPO prospects, regulatory hurdles and market volatility could delay further; a surprise confidential filing might challenge this, though historical AI lab timelines make it improbable.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,264,823종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid reports positioning a potential debut as early as October. The Claude AI developer, fresh off a $30 billion Series G round at $380 billion valuation in February and private-market trades topping $1 trillion in April, has discussed banker engagements for a late-2026 listing, but the compressed six-week timeline leaves no room for SEC review, roadshows, or pricing at sky-high targets like $900 billion. While explosive revenue growth—80x in Q1—bolsters long-term IPO prospects, regulatory hurdles and market volatility could delay further; a surprise confidential filing might challenge this, though historical AI lab timelines make it improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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