Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by the February all-stock merger with xAI, which integrated the AI firm's $250 billion assets into SpaceX's Starlink and rocket operations for enhanced scale. Recent investor commentary, including Ron Baron's forecast of it becoming the planet's largest company, reinforces this positioning amid accelerating roadshow plans starting June 8. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype, while Anthropic (9.3%) and OpenAI (2.9%) trail due to exploratory IPO discussions without filings, facing competitive AI landscape uncertainties and potential delays into late 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스페이스X 87%
Anthropic 9.4%
오픈AI 2.9%
크라켄 <1%
$1,847,673 거래량
$1,847,673 거래량
2026.12.31
스페이스X
87%
Anthropic
9%
오픈AI
3%
크라켄
1%
디스코드
<1%
바이트댄스
<1%
스트라이프
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
웨이모
<1%
레볼루트
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
스페이스X 87%
Anthropic 9.4%
오픈AI 2.9%
크라켄 <1%
$1,847,673 거래량
$1,847,673 거래량
2026.12.31
스페이스X
$223,678 거래량
87%
Anthropic
$357,767 거래량
9%
오픈AI
$331,205 거래량
3%
크라켄
$384,167 거래량
1%
디스코드
$79,977 거래량
<1%
바이트댄스
$96,590 거래량
<1%
스트라이프
$50,330 거래량
<1%
SHEIN
$69,143 거래량
<1%
웨이모
$56,664 거래량
<1%
레볼루트
$49,753 거래량
<1%
Perplexity AI
$64,898 거래량
<1%
Databricks
$83,501 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by the February all-stock merger with xAI, which integrated the AI firm's $250 billion assets into SpaceX's Starlink and rocket operations for enhanced scale. Recent investor commentary, including Ron Baron's forecast of it becoming the planet's largest company, reinforces this positioning amid accelerating roadshow plans starting June 8. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype, while Anthropic (9.3%) and OpenAI (2.9%) trail due to exploratory IPO discussions without filings, facing competitive AI landscape uncertainties and potential delays into late 2026.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
거래량
$1,847,673종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by the February all-stock merger with xAI, which integrated the AI firm's $250 billion assets into SpaceX's Starlink and rocket operations for enhanced scale. Recent investor commentary, including Ron Baron's forecast of it becoming the planet's largest company, reinforces this positioning amid accelerating roadshow plans starting June 8. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype, while Anthropic (9.3%) and OpenAI (2.9%) trail due to exploratory IPO discussions without filings, facing competitive AI landscape uncertainties and potential delays into late 2026.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,847,673종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its April confidential SEC filing targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by the February all-stock merger with xAI, which integrated the AI firm's $250 billion assets into SpaceX's Starlink and rocket operations for enhanced scale. Recent investor commentary, including Ron Baron's forecast of it becoming the planet's largest company, reinforces this positioning amid accelerating roadshow plans starting June 8. xAI lingers at 25.5% on pre-merger hype, while Anthropic (9.3%) and OpenAI (2.9%) trail due to exploratory IPO discussions without filings, facing competitive AI landscape uncertainties and potential delays into late 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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