Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (86.5% implied probability), propelled by Bloomberg's May 12 report of early talks for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—more than doubling its February $380 billion mark amid surging Claude AI enterprise adoption and $44 billion annualized revenue run rate with 70% margins. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in growth metrics, fueling pre-IPO trading at $1 trillion-plus levels on platforms like Jupiter. The 11.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects minor timeline risks despite October 2026 preparations via Wilson Sonsini, while lower brackets languish below 2% given unprecedented AI investor appetite. Watch for funding closure and model capability demos as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6,000억+ 87%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 11%
4,000억~6,000억 1.5%
3,000억~4,000억 <1%
$297,262 거래량
$297,262 거래량
2027.12.31
100B 미만
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000억~3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000억~4,000억
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
2%
6,000억+
87%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
11%
6,000억+ 87%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 11%
4,000억~6,000억 1.5%
3,000억~4,000억 <1%
$297,262 거래량
$297,262 거래량
2027.12.31
100B 미만
$138,181 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$53,140 거래량
<1%
2,000억~3,000억 달러
$8,864 거래량
<1%
3,000억~4,000억
$60,093 거래량
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
$9,125 거래량
2%
6,000억+
$15,215 거래량
87%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
$12,651 거래량
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (86.5% implied probability), propelled by Bloomberg's May 12 report of early talks for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—more than doubling its February $380 billion mark amid surging Claude AI enterprise adoption and $44 billion annualized revenue run rate with 70% margins. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in growth metrics, fueling pre-IPO trading at $1 trillion-plus levels on platforms like Jupiter. The 11.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects minor timeline risks despite October 2026 preparations via Wilson Sonsini, while lower brackets languish below 2% given unprecedented AI investor appetite. Watch for funding closure and model capability demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
거래량
$297,262종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (86.5% implied probability), propelled by Bloomberg's May 12 report of early talks for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—more than doubling its February $380 billion mark amid surging Claude AI enterprise adoption and $44 billion annualized revenue run rate with 70% margins. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in growth metrics, fueling pre-IPO trading at $1 trillion-plus levels on platforms like Jupiter. The 11.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects minor timeline risks despite October 2026 preparations via Wilson Sonsini, while lower brackets languish below 2% given unprecedented AI investor appetite. Watch for funding closure and model capability demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$297,262종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (86.5% implied probability), propelled by Bloomberg's May 12 report of early talks for a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—more than doubling its February $380 billion mark amid surging Claude AI enterprise adoption and $44 billion annualized revenue run rate with 70% margins. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI in growth metrics, fueling pre-IPO trading at $1 trillion-plus levels on platforms like Jupiter. The 11.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" reflects minor timeline risks despite October 2026 preparations via Wilson Sonsini, while lower brackets languish below 2% given unprecedented AI investor appetite. Watch for funding closure and model capability demos as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문