Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 거래량
$45,286 거래량
2027.12.31
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
15%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 거래량
$45,286 거래량
2027.12.31
<0.6T
$3,442 거래량
4%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 거래량
6%
0.9–1.2T
$5,564 거래량
13%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 거래량
15%
1.5–1.8T
$5,070 거래량
13%
1.8T+
$11,487 거래량
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,373 거래량
14%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
거래량
$45,286종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$45,286종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to $45 billion annualized run rate and recent private funding talks valuing the AI lab at $900–950 billion—including a potential $30 billion round closing this month co-led by Dragoneer and Sequoia. This follows February's $30 billion Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and April's $1 trillion secondary market surge on Forge Global, underscoring Claude's competitive edge against OpenAI's large language models amid surging enterprise AI demand. Lower brackets trail due to IPO prep via Wilson Sonsini but no S-1 filing yet, with a Q4 2026 debut eyed; "No IPO by 2027" at 13.5% reflects caution over regulatory hurdles and further private capital needs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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