Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 69% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude developer eyeing an October listing amid talks for a $900 billion funding round backed by Google and Amazon commitments. This aggressive timeline contrasts with OpenAI's stalling momentum, including PitchBook analysis deeming its Q4 2026 target unattainable, CFO concerns over massive compute spend and missed revenue goals, plus fresh scrutiny from attorneys general urging SEC probes and GOP oversight of CEO Sam Altman's dealings. As leading AI labs race amid surging valuations, upcoming confidential S-1 filings or Q3 announcements could catalyze shifts in this closely watched contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic
$54,164 거래량
$54,164 거래량
2027.12.31
Anthropic
$54,164 거래량
$54,164 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 69% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude developer eyeing an October listing amid talks for a $900 billion funding round backed by Google and Amazon commitments. This aggressive timeline contrasts with OpenAI's stalling momentum, including PitchBook analysis deeming its Q4 2026 target unattainable, CFO concerns over massive compute spend and missed revenue goals, plus fresh scrutiny from attorneys general urging SEC probes and GOP oversight of CEO Sam Altman's dealings. As leading AI labs race amid surging valuations, upcoming confidential S-1 filings or Q3 announcements could catalyze shifts in this closely watched contest.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
거래량
$54,164종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 69% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude developer eyeing an October listing amid talks for a $900 billion funding round backed by Google and Amazon commitments. This aggressive timeline contrasts with OpenAI's stalling momentum, including PitchBook analysis deeming its Q4 2026 target unattainable, CFO concerns over massive compute spend and missed revenue goals, plus fresh scrutiny from attorneys general urging SEC probes and GOP oversight of CEO Sam Altman's dealings. As leading AI labs race amid surging valuations, upcoming confidential S-1 filings or Q3 announcements could catalyze shifts in this closely watched contest.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$54,164종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 69% implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI, fueled by recent reports of the Claude developer eyeing an October listing amid talks for a $900 billion funding round backed by Google and Amazon commitments. This aggressive timeline contrasts with OpenAI's stalling momentum, including PitchBook analysis deeming its Q4 2026 target unattainable, CFO concerns over massive compute spend and missed revenue goals, plus fresh scrutiny from attorneys general urging SEC probes and GOP oversight of CEO Sam Altman's dealings. As leading AI labs race amid surging valuations, upcoming confidential S-1 filings or Q3 announcements could catalyze shifts in this closely watched contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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