Anthropic's April release of Claude Opus 4.7, which delivers marked gains in complex software engineering, long-running agentic tasks, and self-verification capabilities, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds favoring the company for the best large language model at end of May. Traders point to its top marks on SWE-bench Pro and related coding benchmarks, alongside the limited Mythos preview's demonstrated edge in vulnerability detection, as evidence of sustained leadership over rivals. Google and OpenAI trail at single-digit probabilities because neither has shipped a comparable update in the past month. A late-May model drop from Google Gemini or OpenAI GPT-5.5 that shifts LMSYS Arena or coding leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 91%
구글 8%
OpenAI <1%
바이트댄스 <1%
$8,678,067 거래량
$8,678,067 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
91%
구글
8%
OpenAI
1%
바이트댄스
<1%
문샷
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
메타
<1%
xAI
<1%
알리바바
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
바이두
<1%
아마존
<1%
미스트랄
<1%
메이투안
<1%
마이크로소프트
<1%
Anthropic 91%
구글 8%
OpenAI <1%
바이트댄스 <1%
$8,678,067 거래량
$8,678,067 거래량
2026.05.31
Anthropic
$624,977 거래량
91%
구글
$573,400 거래량
8%
OpenAI
$724,141 거래량
1%
바이트댄스
$533,095 거래량
<1%
문샷
$539,965 거래량
<1%
Z.ai
$503,554 거래량
<1%
메타
$511,835 거래량
<1%
xAI
$656,050 거래량
<1%
알리바바
$517,535 거래량
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,917 거래량
<1%
바이두
$469,788 거래량
<1%
아마존
$401,673 거래량
<1%
미스트랄
$1,421,634 거래량
<1%
메이투안
$311,904 거래량
<1%
마이크로소프트
$412,851 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's April release of Claude Opus 4.7, which delivers marked gains in complex software engineering, long-running agentic tasks, and self-verification capabilities, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds favoring the company for the best large language model at end of May. Traders point to its top marks on SWE-bench Pro and related coding benchmarks, alongside the limited Mythos preview's demonstrated edge in vulnerability detection, as evidence of sustained leadership over rivals. Google and OpenAI trail at single-digit probabilities because neither has shipped a comparable update in the past month. A late-May model drop from Google Gemini or OpenAI GPT-5.5 that shifts LMSYS Arena or coding leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
거래량
$8,678,067종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's April release of Claude Opus 4.7, which delivers marked gains in complex software engineering, long-running agentic tasks, and self-verification capabilities, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds favoring the company for the best large language model at end of May. Traders point to its top marks on SWE-bench Pro and related coding benchmarks, alongside the limited Mythos preview's demonstrated edge in vulnerability detection, as evidence of sustained leadership over rivals. Google and OpenAI trail at single-digit probabilities because neither has shipped a comparable update in the past month. A late-May model drop from Google Gemini or OpenAI GPT-5.5 that shifts LMSYS Arena or coding leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$8,678,067종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's April release of Claude Opus 4.7, which delivers marked gains in complex software engineering, long-running agentic tasks, and self-verification capabilities, underpins the 90.5% market-implied odds favoring the company for the best large language model at end of May. Traders point to its top marks on SWE-bench Pro and related coding benchmarks, alongside the limited Mythos preview's demonstrated edge in vulnerability detection, as evidence of sustained leadership over rivals. Google and OpenAI trail at single-digit probabilities because neither has shipped a comparable update in the past month. A late-May model drop from Google Gemini or OpenAI GPT-5.5 that shifts LMSYS Arena or coding leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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