Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and expectations for its public release this week, targeting a late June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. Private secondary trading values SpaceX at around $1.5–1.54 trillion, bolstered by Starlink's 2025 revenue of $12.8 billion from 8.4 million users and its expanding satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship V4's targeted 10,000 metric tons of liftoff thrust for enhanced reusability. Governance concerns from pension funds and Elon Musk's sweeping shareholder controls introduce minor risks, but robust launch cadence and SpaceXAI integration sustain optimism ahead of the June roadshow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2조 달러+ 62%
1.8조–2.0조 11%
1.6조–1.8조 8.7%
1.4조–1.6조 6.0%
$948,216 거래량
$948,216 거래량
2027.12.31
2028년 이전에 상장 없음
2%
1.0조 미만
5%
1.0조–1.2조
2%
1.2조~1.4조
3%
1.4조–1.6조
6%
1.6조–1.8조
9%
1.8조–2.0조
11%
2조 달러+
62%
2조 달러+ 62%
1.8조–2.0조 11%
1.6조–1.8조 8.7%
1.4조–1.6조 6.0%
$948,216 거래량
$948,216 거래량
2027.12.31
2028년 이전에 상장 없음
$190,108 거래량
2%
1.0조 미만
$76,725 거래량
5%
1.0조–1.2조
$54,098 거래량
2%
1.2조~1.4조
$71,493 거래량
3%
1.4조–1.6조
$116,179 거래량
6%
1.6조–1.8조
$119,292 거래량
9%
1.8조–2.0조
$106,434 거래량
11%
2조 달러+
$213,887 거래량
62%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and expectations for its public release this week, targeting a late June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. Private secondary trading values SpaceX at around $1.5–1.54 trillion, bolstered by Starlink's 2025 revenue of $12.8 billion from 8.4 million users and its expanding satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship V4's targeted 10,000 metric tons of liftoff thrust for enhanced reusability. Governance concerns from pension funds and Elon Musk's sweeping shareholder controls introduce minor risks, but robust launch cadence and SpaceXAI integration sustain optimism ahead of the June roadshow.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
거래량
$948,216종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and expectations for its public release this week, targeting a late June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. Private secondary trading values SpaceX at around $1.5–1.54 trillion, bolstered by Starlink's 2025 revenue of $12.8 billion from 8.4 million users and its expanding satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship V4's targeted 10,000 metric tons of liftoff thrust for enhanced reusability. Governance concerns from pension funds and Elon Musk's sweeping shareholder controls introduce minor risks, but robust launch cadence and SpaceXAI integration sustain optimism ahead of the June roadshow.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$948,216종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and expectations for its public release this week, targeting a late June listing that could raise up to $75 billion. Private secondary trading values SpaceX at around $1.5–1.54 trillion, bolstered by Starlink's 2025 revenue of $12.8 billion from 8.4 million users and its expanding satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship V4's targeted 10,000 metric tons of liftoff thrust for enhanced reusability. Governance concerns from pension funds and Elon Musk's sweeping shareholder controls introduce minor risks, but robust launch cadence and SpaceXAI integration sustain optimism ahead of the June roadshow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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