Enhanced global surveillance and the absence of any pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission or exponential growth justify the 89.5% market-implied odds against a new pandemic in 2026. As of mid-June, CDC data show COVID-19 emergency visits below 0.1% and declining in most states, while influenza and RSV seasons have concluded without unusual activity. Localized outbreaks, including Bundibugyo virus Ebola in the DRC and a contained Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship, lack the respiratory efficiency or geographic scale to meet WHO pandemic thresholds. Post-COVID preparedness improvements, including rapid response modeling, have contained zoonotic spillovers, though traders note residual climate-related risks for future emergence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$789,490 거래량
$789,490 거래량
$789,490 거래량
$789,490 거래량
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
마켓 개설일: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Enhanced global surveillance and the absence of any pathogen exhibiting sustained human-to-human transmission or exponential growth justify the 89.5% market-implied odds against a new pandemic in 2026. As of mid-June, CDC data show COVID-19 emergency visits below 0.1% and declining in most states, while influenza and RSV seasons have concluded without unusual activity. Localized outbreaks, including Bundibugyo virus Ebola in the DRC and a contained Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship, lack the respiratory efficiency or geographic scale to meet WHO pandemic thresholds. Post-COVID preparedness improvements, including rapid response modeling, have contained zoonotic spillovers, though traders note residual climate-related risks for future emergence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문