**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.** Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days. Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$121,809 거래량
$121,809 거래량
2026.06.30
$121,809 거래량
$121,809 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.**
Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days.
Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
거래량
$121,809종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.**
Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days.
Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$121,809종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.** Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days. Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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