Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,563,300 거래량
2026.06.30
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
8%
xAI
5%
메타
4%
바이두
3%
Z.ai
2%
딥시크
2%
Nvidia
2%
알리바바
2%
메이투안
1%
$1,563,300 거래량
OpenAI
$406,502 거래량
11%
Mistral
$13,200 거래량
8%
xAI
$559,434 거래량
5%
메타
$15,461 거래량
4%
바이두
$3,931 거래량
3%
Z.ai
$10,760 거래량
2%
딥시크
$275,939 거래량
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 거래량
2%
알리바바
$10,627 거래량
2%
메이투안
$3,056 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$1,563,300종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
거래량
$1,563,300종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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