Google's February 19, 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview established the current flagship with strong agentic, coding, and multimodal benchmarks, but trader attention now centers on the 3.5 Pro successor. At I/O 2026 in May, CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly stated the next major Pro model would arrive the following month, creating a clear near-term catalyst amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Google has historically moved from preview to broader availability within weeks while iterating on context length, tool use, and reasoning; any slip past June would likely reflect typical timeline slippage rather than a shift in roadmap. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed window, tempered by the possibility of phased rollouts or last-minute benchmark tuning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$59,589 거래량
2026.07.31
6월 12일
<1%
6월 19일
14%
6월 26일
57%
6월 30일
87%
7월 31일
97%
$59,589 거래량
6월 12일
$16,109 거래량
<1%
6월 19일
$9,550 거래량
14%
6월 26일
$9,092 거래량
57%
6월 30일
$16,814 거래량
87%
7월 31일
$5,561 거래량
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's February 19, 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview established the current flagship with strong agentic, coding, and multimodal benchmarks, but trader attention now centers on the 3.5 Pro successor. At I/O 2026 in May, CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly stated the next major Pro model would arrive the following month, creating a clear near-term catalyst amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Google has historically moved from preview to broader availability within weeks while iterating on context length, tool use, and reasoning; any slip past June would likely reflect typical timeline slippage rather than a shift in roadmap. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed window, tempered by the possibility of phased rollouts or last-minute benchmark tuning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
거래량
$59,589종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's February 19, 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview established the current flagship with strong agentic, coding, and multimodal benchmarks, but trader attention now centers on the 3.5 Pro successor. At I/O 2026 in May, CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly stated the next major Pro model would arrive the following month, creating a clear near-term catalyst amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Google has historically moved from preview to broader availability within weeks while iterating on context length, tool use, and reasoning; any slip past June would likely reflect typical timeline slippage rather than a shift in roadmap. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed window, tempered by the possibility of phased rollouts or last-minute benchmark tuning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$59,589종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's February 19, 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview established the current flagship with strong agentic, coding, and multimodal benchmarks, but trader attention now centers on the 3.5 Pro successor. At I/O 2026 in May, CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly stated the next major Pro model would arrive the following month, creating a clear near-term catalyst amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Google has historically moved from preview to broader availability within weeks while iterating on context length, tool use, and reasoning; any slip past June would likely reflect typical timeline slippage rather than a shift in roadmap. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed window, tempered by the possibility of phased rollouts or last-minute benchmark tuning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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