Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 30일 25%
6월 23일 23%
6월 30일까지 미출시 12.1%
6월 22일 6.0%
$114,630 거래량
$114,630 거래량
6월 13일
<1%
6월 14일
<1%
6월 15일
<1%
6월 16일
3%
6월 17일
2%
6월 18일
4%
6월 19일
2%
6월 20일
1%
6월 21일
1%
6월 22일
6%
6월 23일
23%
6월 24일
4%
6월 25일
2%
6월 26일
6%
6월 27일
1%
6월 28일
<1%
6월 29일
<1%
6월 30일
25%
6월 30일까지 미출시
12%
6월 30일 25%
6월 23일 23%
6월 30일까지 미출시 12.1%
6월 22일 6.0%
$114,630 거래량
$114,630 거래량
6월 13일
<1%
6월 14일
<1%
6월 15일
<1%
6월 16일
3%
6월 17일
2%
6월 18일
4%
6월 19일
2%
6월 20일
1%
6월 21일
1%
6월 22일
6%
6월 23일
23%
6월 24일
4%
6월 25일
2%
6월 26일
6%
6월 27일
1%
6월 28일
<1%
6월 29일
<1%
6월 30일
25%
6월 30일까지 미출시
12%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the June 23–30 window as most probable for the next Gemini Pro model—widely understood as Gemini 3.5 Pro—because Google announced the flagship at I/O on May 19 with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly targeting general availability “next month,” yet no firm date or public preview has followed. The tight spread between June 23 (23.0%) and June 30 (24.5%), alongside the modest 12.1% on “no release by June 30,” reflects uncertainty over whether Google will meet the self-imposed June deadline or slip into early July, consistent with its pattern of incremental 3.x updates after the February Gemini 3.1 Pro preview. Key variables include ongoing internal testing of 2-million-token context and Deep Think reasoning features, supply-chain or certification timing, and competitive pressure from rival frontier models. No major new catalysts are scheduled before late June, leaving the market sensitive to any official confirmation or credible leak on exact rollout.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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