SpaceX has advanced Super Heavy booster recovery with multiple successful tower catches and the first booster reuse on Flight 9 in May 2025, validating rapid turnaround elements critical to full reusability. The upper stage continues facing reentry and engine relight challenges across 2025 flights, though V3 hardware upgrades targeting both-stage catches and in-orbit propellant transfer in 2026 are now in testing. These milestones, alongside aggressive flight cadence goals and Raptor engine iterations, underpin the 64.5% market-implied probability for achieving complete, rapid reusability before 2028, with ship recovery attempts and high-rate operations serving as near-term swing factors.