SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
신규
신규
2027.01.01
예
신규
신규
2027.01.01
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
거래량
$5,249종료일
2027.01.01마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
거래량
$5,249종료일
2027.01.01마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s record $75 billion Nasdaq IPO on June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX has driven near-certain trader consensus for 2026 Nasdaq-100 inclusion at 97.5% implied probability. Nasdaq’s fast-entry rules, updated effective May 1, 2026, enable top-40 market-cap companies to join in roughly 15 trading days rather than the prior year-long seasoning period, positioning SpaceX for rapid addition as one of the world’s largest public firms. Recent index-provider adjustments and the company’s massive scale further support automatic passive-fund inflows. While the outcome appears highly probable, minor delays in formal review or unexpected regulatory scrutiny could still shift timing, though historical precedents and current rules make such interruptions unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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