Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's recent targeting of a $1.75 trillion market cap for its anticipated late-June 2026 debut—the largest public offering ever, aiming to raise $50-75 billion. This positioning stems from April disclosures of a confidential S-1 filing and dual-class share structure ensuring Elon Musk's control, alongside explosive Starlink revenue growth to $15-16 billion in 2025 and projected $22-24 billion in 2026, bolstered by Starship milestones and xAI synergies. Secondary tender offers at $800 billion underscore private market appetite, though skeptics cite revenue multiples exceeding Meta's as risks pulling odds from higher brackets, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid volatile risk appetite.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.75-2.00조 61%
2.25~2.50조 11.0%
2.00-2.25조 11%
2.50조 달러 이상 5.3%
$133,285 거래량
$133,285 거래량
1.25조 미만
1%
1.25-1.50조
4%
1.50-1.75조
22%
1.75-2.00조
61%
2.00-2.25조
26%
2.25~2.50조
11%
2.50조 달러 이상
5%
1.75-2.00조 61%
2.25~2.50조 11.0%
2.00-2.25조 11%
2.50조 달러 이상 5.3%
$133,285 거래량
$133,285 거래량
1.25조 미만
$60,323 거래량
1%
1.25-1.50조
$16,039 거래량
4%
1.50-1.75조
$9,240 거래량
22%
1.75-2.00조
$12,910 거래량
61%
2.00-2.25조
$13,938 거래량
26%
2.25~2.50조
$10,055 거래량
11%
2.50조 달러 이상
$10,779 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's recent targeting of a $1.75 trillion market cap for its anticipated late-June 2026 debut—the largest public offering ever, aiming to raise $50-75 billion. This positioning stems from April disclosures of a confidential S-1 filing and dual-class share structure ensuring Elon Musk's control, alongside explosive Starlink revenue growth to $15-16 billion in 2025 and projected $22-24 billion in 2026, bolstered by Starship milestones and xAI synergies. Secondary tender offers at $800 billion underscore private market appetite, though skeptics cite revenue multiples exceeding Meta's as risks pulling odds from higher brackets, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid volatile risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$133,285마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's recent targeting of a $1.75 trillion market cap for its anticipated late-June 2026 debut—the largest public offering ever, aiming to raise $50-75 billion. This positioning stems from April disclosures of a confidential S-1 filing and dual-class share structure ensuring Elon Musk's control, alongside explosive Starlink revenue growth to $15-16 billion in 2025 and projected $22-24 billion in 2026, bolstered by Starship milestones and xAI synergies. Secondary tender offers at $800 billion underscore private market appetite, though skeptics cite revenue multiples exceeding Meta's as risks pulling odds from higher brackets, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid volatile risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$133,285마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's recent targeting of a $1.75 trillion market cap for its anticipated late-June 2026 debut—the largest public offering ever, aiming to raise $50-75 billion. This positioning stems from April disclosures of a confidential S-1 filing and dual-class share structure ensuring Elon Musk's control, alongside explosive Starlink revenue growth to $15-16 billion in 2025 and projected $22-24 billion in 2026, bolstered by Starship milestones and xAI synergies. Secondary tender offers at $800 billion underscore private market appetite, though skeptics cite revenue multiples exceeding Meta's as risks pulling odds from higher brackets, with resolution hinging on final pricing amid volatile risk appetite.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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