Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.8% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated June 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid the company's S-1 filing that targets up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation but highlights substantial capex demands for Starlink expansion and space-based AI infrastructure. Recent completion of a tender offer valuing the firm at $180 billion—down from $800 billion in late 2025—signals tempered private market enthusiasm, while Starlink's projected $22-24 billion 2026 revenue underpins growth optimism yet underscores dilution risks with $24.8 billion cash reserves. Dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control add governance scrutiny, with roadshow pricing set for the week of June 8 as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$139,071 거래량
$139,071 거래량
400억 달러 미만
13%
400~500억 달러
8%
500억~600억 달러
29%
600~700억
10%
700~800억
24%
800~900억
19%
900억~1,000억 달러
6%
1,000억~1,100억 달러
3%
1,100억~1,200억
4%
1,200억+
9%
$139,071 거래량
$139,071 거래량
400억 달러 미만
$10,344 거래량
13%
400~500억 달러
$5,642 거래량
8%
500억~600억 달러
$33,199 거래량
29%
600~700억
$14,185 거래량
10%
700~800억
$24,628 거래량
24%
800~900억
$15,593 거래량
19%
900억~1,000억 달러
$10,727 거래량
6%
1,000억~1,100억 달러
$7,565 거래량
3%
1,100억~1,200억
$9,411 거래량
4%
1,200억+
$7,777 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.8% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated June 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid the company's S-1 filing that targets up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation but highlights substantial capex demands for Starlink expansion and space-based AI infrastructure. Recent completion of a tender offer valuing the firm at $180 billion—down from $800 billion in late 2025—signals tempered private market enthusiasm, while Starlink's projected $22-24 billion 2026 revenue underpins growth optimism yet underscores dilution risks with $24.8 billion cash reserves. Dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control add governance scrutiny, with roadshow pricing set for the week of June 8 as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
거래량
$139,071마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.8% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated June 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid the company's S-1 filing that targets up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation but highlights substantial capex demands for Starlink expansion and space-based AI infrastructure. Recent completion of a tender offer valuing the firm at $180 billion—down from $800 billion in late 2025—signals tempered private market enthusiasm, while Starlink's projected $22-24 billion 2026 revenue underpins growth optimism yet underscores dilution risks with $24.8 billion cash reserves. Dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control add governance scrutiny, with roadshow pricing set for the week of June 8 as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$139,071마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.8% implied probability for SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its anticipated June 2026 IPO, reflecting caution amid the company's S-1 filing that targets up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation but highlights substantial capex demands for Starlink expansion and space-based AI infrastructure. Recent completion of a tender offer valuing the firm at $180 billion—down from $800 billion in late 2025—signals tempered private market enthusiasm, while Starlink's projected $22-24 billion 2026 revenue underpins growth optimism yet underscores dilution risks with $24.8 billion cash reserves. Dual-class shares preserving Elon Musk's control add governance scrutiny, with roadshow pricing set for the week of June 8 as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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