Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.7% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by slim odds of all three 2026 milestones aligning: Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Mid-May updates show Musk's wealth around $800 billion, pressured by Tesla shares lingering near $430 amid EV market slowdowns and Full Self-Driving regulatory hurdles, despite the February xAI-SpaceX merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation. No new baby announcements have surfaced, and Starship progress lags with FAA delays limiting flights to a few successes. A blockbuster SpaceX IPO or FSD approval could catalyze a net worth surge, but synchronizing personal, valuation, and launch cadence breakthroughs appears unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,235 거래량
$10,235 거래량
2026.12.31
$10,235 거래량
$10,235 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.7% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by slim odds of all three 2026 milestones aligning: Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Mid-May updates show Musk's wealth around $800 billion, pressured by Tesla shares lingering near $430 amid EV market slowdowns and Full Self-Driving regulatory hurdles, despite the February xAI-SpaceX merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation. No new baby announcements have surfaced, and Starship progress lags with FAA delays limiting flights to a few successes. A blockbuster SpaceX IPO or FSD approval could catalyze a net worth surge, but synchronizing personal, valuation, and launch cadence breakthroughs appears unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$10,235종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.7% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by slim odds of all three 2026 milestones aligning: Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Mid-May updates show Musk's wealth around $800 billion, pressured by Tesla shares lingering near $430 amid EV market slowdowns and Full Self-Driving regulatory hurdles, despite the February xAI-SpaceX merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation. No new baby announcements have surfaced, and Starship progress lags with FAA delays limiting flights to a few successes. A blockbuster SpaceX IPO or FSD approval could catalyze a net worth surge, but synchronizing personal, valuation, and launch cadence breakthroughs appears unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
거래량
$10,235종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94.7% for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, driven by slim odds of all three 2026 milestones aligning: Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Mid-May updates show Musk's wealth around $800 billion, pressured by Tesla shares lingering near $430 amid EV market slowdowns and Full Self-Driving regulatory hurdles, despite the February xAI-SpaceX merger at $1.25 trillion combined valuation. No new baby announcements have surfaced, and Starship progress lags with FAA delays limiting flights to a few successes. A blockbuster SpaceX IPO or FSD approval could catalyze a net worth surge, but synchronizing personal, valuation, and launch cadence breakthroughs appears unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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