Tesla’s recent share price gains and sustained investor optimism around its AI and robotics initiatives have anchored trader expectations for Elon Musk’s net worth near or above $690 billion by May 31. As of mid-May, Bloomberg’s index placed his fortune at approximately $684 billion, reflecting his roughly 13% Tesla stake and controlling interest in the merged SpaceX-xAI entity valued near $1.25 trillion, while Forbes tracked a higher $811 billion reading driven by more aggressive private-asset marks. With only two weeks until resolution, the 54.5% implied probability on the 690b+ bucket captures consensus that near-term equity stability and any further SpaceX valuation updates will outweigh volatility risks. Market-implied odds also embed expectations for modest Tesla trading volume and no material regulatory shifts before month-end.