Recent CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance places the cumulative U.S. influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 85.2 per 100,000 population through Week 15, with weekly rates falling to just 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply declining national activity. This late-season slowdown—driven by warmer temperatures reducing transmission of the predominant A(H3N2) strain—adds minimal new laboratory-confirmed cases, anchoring trader consensus at 88.3% implied probability for an 85–90 range by Week 19. The season’s cumulative burden ranks third-highest since 2010–11, yet post-peak trends and historical analogs indicate low risk of breaching 90. Final CDC data releases in coming days will confirm whether reporting lags push the total outside this narrow band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90 93.6%
80–85 7.4%
<80 1.8%
95–100 <1%
<80
2%
80–85
7%
85–90
88%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 93.6%
80–85 7.4%
<80 1.8%
95–100 <1%
<80
2%
80–85
7%
85–90
88%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance places the cumulative U.S. influenza-associated hospitalization rate at 85.2 per 100,000 population through Week 15, with weekly rates falling to just 0.5 per 100,000 amid sharply declining national activity. This late-season slowdown—driven by warmer temperatures reducing transmission of the predominant A(H3N2) strain—adds minimal new laboratory-confirmed cases, anchoring trader consensus at 88.3% implied probability for an 85–90 range by Week 19. The season’s cumulative burden ranks third-highest since 2010–11, yet post-peak trends and historical analogs indicate low risk of breaching 90. Final CDC data releases in coming days will confirm whether reporting lags push the total outside this narrow band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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