Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
0 53%
1 36%
2 13%
3 4.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.24
0
53%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4%
4
2%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 53%
1 36%
2 13%
3 4.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.24
0
$188 거래량
53%
1
$88 거래량
36%
2
$68 거래량
13%
3
$246 거래량
4%
4
$65 거래량
2%
5
$103 거래량
1%
>5
$243 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
거래량
$1,000종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
거래량
$1,000종료일
2026.05.24마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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