Solar maximum conditions and a geoeffective coronal hole are the main drivers keeping trader odds tightly clustered around one to five major events for May 17–23. NOAA/SWPC models show G1-level geomagnetic storms likely early in the period from high-speed solar wind streams, while active regions continue to produce M-class flares at roughly 40 percent daily probability. Recent M5-level activity and recurrent coronal-hole effects have already delivered multiple disturbances in the prior week, creating a baseline expectation of several moderate events without pushing toward extremes. Forecasters note model spread in exact timing and intensity, which sustains balanced probabilities across the lower counts while capping the chance of six or more. Updated 27-day outlooks and daily geomagnetic indices will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
1 50%
2 50%
3 50%
4 50%
신규
신규
2026.05.23
0
31%
1
50%
2
50%
3
50%
4
50%
5
50%
6+
41%
1 50%
2 50%
3 50%
4 50%
신규
신규
2026.05.23
0
$0 거래량
31%
1
$0 거래량
50%
2
$0 거래량
50%
3
$0 거래량
50%
4
$0 거래량
50%
5
$0 거래량
50%
6+
$0 거래량
41%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Solar maximum conditions and a geoeffective coronal hole are the main drivers keeping trader odds tightly clustered around one to five major events for May 17–23. NOAA/SWPC models show G1-level geomagnetic storms likely early in the period from high-speed solar wind streams, while active regions continue to produce M-class flares at roughly 40 percent daily probability. Recent M5-level activity and recurrent coronal-hole effects have already delivered multiple disturbances in the prior week, creating a baseline expectation of several moderate events without pushing toward extremes. Forecasters note model spread in exact timing and intensity, which sustains balanced probabilities across the lower counts while capping the chance of six or more. Updated 27-day outlooks and daily geomagnetic indices will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Solar maximum conditions and a geoeffective coronal hole are the main drivers keeping trader odds tightly clustered around one to five major events for May 17–23. NOAA/SWPC models show G1-level geomagnetic storms likely early in the period from high-speed solar wind streams, while active regions continue to produce M-class flares at roughly 40 percent daily probability. Recent M5-level activity and recurrent coronal-hole effects have already delivered multiple disturbances in the prior week, creating a baseline expectation of several moderate events without pushing toward extremes. Forecasters note model spread in exact timing and intensity, which sustains balanced probabilities across the lower counts while capping the chance of six or more. Updated 27-day outlooks and daily geomagnetic indices will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between May 17, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.05.23마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Solar maximum conditions and a geoeffective coronal hole are the main drivers keeping trader odds tightly clustered around one to five major events for May 17–23. NOAA/SWPC models show G1-level geomagnetic storms likely early in the period from high-speed solar wind streams, while active regions continue to produce M-class flares at roughly 40 percent daily probability. Recent M5-level activity and recurrent coronal-hole effects have already delivered multiple disturbances in the prior week, creating a baseline expectation of several moderate events without pushing toward extremes. Forecasters note model spread in exact timing and intensity, which sustains balanced probabilities across the lower counts while capping the chance of six or more. Updated 27-day outlooks and daily geomagnetic indices will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문