Strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 91.9% reflects the Doge-1 12U CubeSat's long history of repeated schedule slips since its 2021 announcement and the absence of a confirmed slot on SpaceX's Falcon 9 manifest as of mid-May 2026. A tentative September 13, 2026, target remains unverified amid SpaceX's priority allocation to Starlink and crewed flights, with integration challenges for secondary lunar payloads and narrow trans-lunar injection windows adding further risk. Recent comments from Elon Musk noting a possible 2027 timeline underscore the realistic chance of additional postponements driven by technical readiness reviews and launch cadence pressures. A surprise manifest confirmation or expedited payload integration could still alter odds before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Doge-1 달 임무는 2027년 이전에 시작되나요?
Doge-1 달 임무는 2027년 이전에 시작되나요?
예
$800,237 거래량
$800,237 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$800,237 거래량
$800,237 거래량
2026.12.31
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 91.9% reflects the Doge-1 12U CubeSat's long history of repeated schedule slips since its 2021 announcement and the absence of a confirmed slot on SpaceX's Falcon 9 manifest as of mid-May 2026. A tentative September 13, 2026, target remains unverified amid SpaceX's priority allocation to Starlink and crewed flights, with integration challenges for secondary lunar payloads and narrow trans-lunar injection windows adding further risk. Recent comments from Elon Musk noting a possible 2027 timeline underscore the realistic chance of additional postponements driven by technical readiness reviews and launch cadence pressures. A surprise manifest confirmation or expedited payload integration could still alter odds before year-end.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
거래량
$800,237종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 91.9% reflects the Doge-1 12U CubeSat's long history of repeated schedule slips since its 2021 announcement and the absence of a confirmed slot on SpaceX's Falcon 9 manifest as of mid-May 2026. A tentative September 13, 2026, target remains unverified amid SpaceX's priority allocation to Starlink and crewed flights, with integration challenges for secondary lunar payloads and narrow trans-lunar injection windows adding further risk. Recent comments from Elon Musk noting a possible 2027 timeline underscore the realistic chance of additional postponements driven by technical readiness reviews and launch cadence pressures. A surprise manifest confirmation or expedited payload integration could still alter odds before year-end.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
거래량
$800,237종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus favoring a "No" outcome at 91.9% reflects the Doge-1 12U CubeSat's long history of repeated schedule slips since its 2021 announcement and the absence of a confirmed slot on SpaceX's Falcon 9 manifest as of mid-May 2026. A tentative September 13, 2026, target remains unverified amid SpaceX's priority allocation to Starlink and crewed flights, with integration challenges for secondary lunar payloads and narrow trans-lunar injection windows adding further risk. Recent comments from Elon Musk noting a possible 2027 timeline underscore the realistic chance of additional postponements driven by technical readiness reviews and launch cadence pressures. A surprise manifest confirmation or expedited payload integration could still alter odds before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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