Recent seismic monitoring from the U.S. Geological Survey shows five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events near Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan in March and April. This pace aligns closely with the historical annual average of 13–17 such quakes, driven primarily by ongoing subduction and transform fault activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. No events above 7.0 have occurred since late April, though smaller-magnitude swarms continue in tectonically active zones. USGS real-time catalogs and global seismic networks provide daily updates that traders monitor for any acceleration or quiet periods that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 에 의한 또 다른 7.0 이상의 지진?
... 에 의한 또 다른 7.0 이상의 지진?
$26,966 거래량
2026.05.31
5월 15일
<1%
5월 30일
41%
$26,966 거래량
5월 15일
$4,830 거래량
<1%
5월 30일
$8,889 거래량
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring from the U.S. Geological Survey shows five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events near Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan in March and April. This pace aligns closely with the historical annual average of 13–17 such quakes, driven primarily by ongoing subduction and transform fault activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. No events above 7.0 have occurred since late April, though smaller-magnitude swarms continue in tectonically active zones. USGS real-time catalogs and global seismic networks provide daily updates that traders monitor for any acceleration or quiet periods that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
거래량
$26,966종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring from the U.S. Geological Survey shows five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events near Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan in March and April. This pace aligns closely with the historical annual average of 13–17 such quakes, driven primarily by ongoing subduction and transform fault activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. No events above 7.0 have occurred since late April, though smaller-magnitude swarms continue in tectonically active zones. USGS real-time catalogs and global seismic networks provide daily updates that traders monitor for any acceleration or quiet periods that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
거래량
$26,966종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent seismic monitoring from the U.S. Geological Survey shows five magnitude 7.0–7.9 earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including events near Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan in March and April. This pace aligns closely with the historical annual average of 13–17 such quakes, driven primarily by ongoing subduction and transform fault activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. No events above 7.0 have occurred since late April, though smaller-magnitude swarms continue in tectonically active zones. USGS real-time catalogs and global seismic networks provide daily updates that traders monitor for any acceleration or quiet periods that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문