Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, implying a Central Park high temperature clustered in the 76-79°F range amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Northeast. Yesterday's cooler conditions (mid-60s°F) and today's partly cloudy skies with northwest winds have transitioned to light southerly flow, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, but afternoon sea breeze development off the Atlantic—common in May for NYC—poses the key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 76-77°F (33.5%) versus better mixing allowing 78-79°F (27.0%). Ensemble means hover near 77°F, with lower probabilities for 74°F or below tied to increased cloudiness risks; watch evening forecast updates for refined boundary-layer profiles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 7.5%
신규
$14,046 거래량
신규
$14,046 거래량
2026.05.16
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 7.5%
신규
$14,046 거래량
신규
$14,046 거래량
2026.05.16
65°F or below
$1,113 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$865 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$1,532 거래량
1%
70-71°F
$1,742 거래량
1%
72-73°F
$1,423 거래량
8%
74-75°F
$1,091 거래량
19%
76-77°F
$796 거래량
34%
78-79°F
$1,935 거래량
26%
80-81°F
$1,270 거래량
8%
82-83°F
$1,490 거래량
3%
84°F or higher
$788 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, implying a Central Park high temperature clustered in the 76-79°F range amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Northeast. Yesterday's cooler conditions (mid-60s°F) and today's partly cloudy skies with northwest winds have transitioned to light southerly flow, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, but afternoon sea breeze development off the Atlantic—common in May for NYC—poses the key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 76-77°F (33.5%) versus better mixing allowing 78-79°F (27.0%). Ensemble means hover near 77°F, with lower probabilities for 74°F or below tied to increased cloudiness risks; watch evening forecast updates for refined boundary-layer profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$14,046종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, implying a Central Park high temperature clustered in the 76-79°F range amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Northeast. Yesterday's cooler conditions (mid-60s°F) and today's partly cloudy skies with northwest winds have transitioned to light southerly flow, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, but afternoon sea breeze development off the Atlantic—common in May for NYC—poses the key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 76-77°F (33.5%) versus better mixing allowing 78-79°F (27.0%). Ensemble means hover near 77°F, with lower probabilities for 74°F or below tied to increased cloudiness risks; watch evening forecast updates for refined boundary-layer profiles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$14,046종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF, implying a Central Park high temperature clustered in the 76-79°F range amid a high-pressure ridge building over the Northeast. Yesterday's cooler conditions (mid-60s°F) and today's partly cloudy skies with northwest winds have transitioned to light southerly flow, fostering diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies, but afternoon sea breeze development off the Atlantic—common in May for NYC—poses the key uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 76-77°F (33.5%) versus better mixing allowing 78-79°F (27.0%). Ensemble means hover near 77°F, with lower probabilities for 74°F or below tied to increased cloudiness risks; watch evening forecast updates for refined boundary-layer profiles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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