The market consensus for a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 rests on direct observational confirmation from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. Regional forecast models showed tight agreement on this peak well in advance, reflecting seasonal norms without anomalous warming from distant weather systems or urban heat-island intensification. Post-event verification through automated weather stations and synoptic reports locked in the outcome, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented late correction in official data archives could alter the result, an event with no precedent in recent Hong Kong records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$287,115 거래량
$287,115 거래량
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
27°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$287,115 거래량
$287,115 거래량
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus for a 27°C high in Hong Kong on May 15 rests on direct observational confirmation from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact maximum under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-May. Regional forecast models showed tight agreement on this peak well in advance, reflecting seasonal norms without anomalous warming from distant weather systems or urban heat-island intensification. Post-event verification through automated weather stations and synoptic reports locked in the outcome, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented late correction in official data archives could alter the result, an event with no precedent in recent Hong Kong records.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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