Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 휴스턴에서 가장 높은 기온?
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
35%
88°F or higher
52%
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
69°F or below
$5 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$346 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$507 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$517 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$522 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$15 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$15 거래량
3%
82-83°F
$4 거래량
6%
84-85°F
$16 거래량
12%
86-87°F
$46 거래량
35%
88°F or higher
$34 거래량
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$2,027종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,027종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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