Persistent cloud cover and widespread thundery showers across Singapore have suppressed daytime solar heating on May 16, 2026, keeping official National Environment Agency observations capped near 28°C through midday. These inter-monsoon conditions, marked by strong convective activity and accumulated rainfall exceeding 80 mm at multiple stations, prevent the typical May maxima of 33–35°C. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to the 28°C threshold based on real-time data and short-term model runs. A rapid clearing of skies in the late afternoon remains the primary scenario that could allow brief spikes toward 29°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$94,066 거래량
$94,066 거래량
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$94,066 거래량
$94,066 거래량
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread thundery showers across Singapore have suppressed daytime solar heating on May 16, 2026, keeping official National Environment Agency observations capped near 28°C through midday. These inter-monsoon conditions, marked by strong convective activity and accumulated rainfall exceeding 80 mm at multiple stations, prevent the typical May maxima of 33–35°C. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with traders assigning overwhelming probability to the 28°C threshold based on real-time data and short-term model runs. A rapid clearing of skies in the late afternoon remains the primary scenario that could allow brief spikes toward 29°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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