**Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast places Tokyo's May 16 overnight low near 16°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus with 32% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent nights have seen similar minima around 15-17°C, buoyed by the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo and Haneda stations that trap warmth despite radiative cooling potential. Ensemble models like JMA, ECMWF, and GFS show a tight spread across 14-17°C, reflecting uncertainty from possible high cloud intrusion or variable breeze strength amid neutral ENSO conditions and above-average May warmth. A midday JMA update could refine this before evening observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
5월 16일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
15°C 32%
16°C 32%
17°C 12%
14°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
13°C 이하
5%
14°C
13%
15°C
28%
16°C
32%
17°C
24%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
15°C 32%
16°C 32%
17°C 12%
14°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
13°C 이하
$330 거래량
5%
14°C
$10 거래량
13%
15°C
$190 거래량
28%
16°C
$38 거래량
32%
17°C
$75 거래량
24%
18°C
$108 거래량
7%
19°C
$94 거래량
1%
20°C
$893 거래량
1%
21°C
$315 거래량
<1%
22°C
$461 거래량
<1%
23°C 이상
$737 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast places Tokyo's May 16 overnight low near 16°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus with 32% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent nights have seen similar minima around 15-17°C, buoyed by the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo and Haneda stations that trap warmth despite radiative cooling potential. Ensemble models like JMA, ECMWF, and GFS show a tight spread across 14-17°C, reflecting uncertainty from possible high cloud intrusion or variable breeze strength amid neutral ENSO conditions and above-average May warmth. A midday JMA update could refine this before evening observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$3,251종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast places Tokyo's May 16 overnight low near 16°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus with 32% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent nights have seen similar minima around 15-17°C, buoyed by the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo and Haneda stations that trap warmth despite radiative cooling potential. Ensemble models like JMA, ECMWF, and GFS show a tight spread across 14-17°C, reflecting uncertainty from possible high cloud intrusion or variable breeze strength amid neutral ENSO conditions and above-average May warmth. A midday JMA update could refine this before evening observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$3,251종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast places Tokyo's May 16 overnight low near 16°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus with 32% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent nights have seen similar minima around 15-17°C, buoyed by the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo and Haneda stations that trap warmth despite radiative cooling potential. Ensemble models like JMA, ECMWF, and GFS show a tight spread across 14-17°C, reflecting uncertainty from possible high cloud intrusion or variable breeze strength amid neutral ENSO conditions and above-average May warmth. A midday JMA update could refine this before evening observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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