The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) projects a daytime high near 64°F on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine stratus layer that suppresses coastal temperatures through delayed boundary layer mixing. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 12's high of 62°F and similar subdued readings below the climatological May average of 67°F, reflecting typical May-June "fog season" dynamics. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-60s peaks amid gusty west-northwest winds of 25-35 mph, positioning 64-65°F (47.5% implied probability) as trader consensus while allowing modest upside to 66-67°F (23.5%) if stratus clears earlier than expected. Monitor the afternoon NWS update for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
64-65°F 45%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 19%
68°F or higher 9%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
45%
66-67°F
25%
68°F or higher
9%
64-65°F 45%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 19%
68°F or higher 9%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
49°F or below
$1,005 거래량
<1%
50-51°F
$570 거래량
<1%
52-53°F
$524 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$445 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$101 거래량
1%
58-59°F
$351 거래량
1%
60-61°F
$596 거래량
3%
62-63°F
$803 거래량
19%
64-65°F
$454 거래량
45%
66-67°F
$238 거래량
25%
68°F or higher
$424 거래량
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) projects a daytime high near 64°F on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine stratus layer that suppresses coastal temperatures through delayed boundary layer mixing. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 12's high of 62°F and similar subdued readings below the climatological May average of 67°F, reflecting typical May-June "fog season" dynamics. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-60s peaks amid gusty west-northwest winds of 25-35 mph, positioning 64-65°F (47.5% implied probability) as trader consensus while allowing modest upside to 66-67°F (23.5%) if stratus clears earlier than expected. Monitor the afternoon NWS update for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
거래량
$5,512종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) projects a daytime high near 64°F on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine stratus layer that suppresses coastal temperatures through delayed boundary layer mixing. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 12's high of 62°F and similar subdued readings below the climatological May average of 67°F, reflecting typical May-June "fog season" dynamics. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-60s peaks amid gusty west-northwest winds of 25-35 mph, positioning 64-65°F (47.5% implied probability) as trader consensus while allowing modest upside to 66-67°F (23.5%) if stratus clears earlier than expected. Monitor the afternoon NWS update for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,512종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) projects a daytime high near 64°F on May 16, driven by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine stratus layer that suppresses coastal temperatures through delayed boundary layer mixing. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with May 12's high of 62°F and similar subdued readings below the climatological May average of 67°F, reflecting typical May-June "fog season" dynamics. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-60s peaks amid gusty west-northwest winds of 25-35 mph, positioning 64-65°F (47.5% implied probability) as trader consensus while allowing modest upside to 66-67°F (23.5%) if stratus clears earlier than expected. Monitor the afternoon NWS update for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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