Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport shows a forecast minimum of 73–78 °F on May 19, driven by moderate easterly flow, dew points near 72 °F, and partial overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. The 37 % market-implied probability on 73 °F or below aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and recent analog nights featuring lighter winds and clearer skies that allow temperatures to dip closer to climatological normals. Higher bins around 78–79 °F capture the modal forecast range under typical May humidity and sea-breeze patterns, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong warm-air advection or suppressed marine influence through the short-range period. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 19일 마이애미에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
73°F 이하 37%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 19.0%
76-77°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
73°F 이하
37%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F 이상
<1%
73°F 이하 37%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 19.0%
76-77°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
73°F 이하
$3 거래량
37%
74-75°F
$0 거래량
10%
76-77°F
$8 거래량
16%
78-79°F
$11 거래량
27%
80-81°F
$0 거래량
19%
82-83°F
$13 거래량
19%
84-85°F
$69 거래량
2%
86-87°F
$30 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$719 거래량
1%
90-91°F
$271 거래량
<1%
92°F 이상
$361 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport shows a forecast minimum of 73–78 °F on May 19, driven by moderate easterly flow, dew points near 72 °F, and partial overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. The 37 % market-implied probability on 73 °F or below aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and recent analog nights featuring lighter winds and clearer skies that allow temperatures to dip closer to climatological normals. Higher bins around 78–79 °F capture the modal forecast range under typical May humidity and sea-breeze patterns, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong warm-air advection or suppressed marine influence through the short-range period. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$1,484종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport shows a forecast minimum of 73–78 °F on May 19, driven by moderate easterly flow, dew points near 72 °F, and partial overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. The 37 % market-implied probability on 73 °F or below aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and recent analog nights featuring lighter winds and clearer skies that allow temperatures to dip closer to climatological normals. Higher bins around 78–79 °F capture the modal forecast range under typical May humidity and sea-breeze patterns, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong warm-air advection or suppressed marine influence through the short-range period. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,484종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport shows a forecast minimum of 73–78 °F on May 19, driven by moderate easterly flow, dew points near 72 °F, and partial overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. The 37 % market-implied probability on 73 °F or below aligns with the lower end of ensemble guidance and recent analog nights featuring lighter winds and clearer skies that allow temperatures to dip closer to climatological normals. Higher bins around 78–79 °F capture the modal forecast range under typical May humidity and sea-breeze patterns, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of strong warm-air advection or suppressed marine influence through the short-range period. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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