Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute place Amsterdam’s May 18 maximum near 15°C under moderate northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This keeps the 15°C bracket in the lead at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 14°C and 16°C, while historical May averages of 16–18°C provide context for the modest suppression. Minor model spread on afternoon sunshine duration and sea-breeze effects creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes, with higher brackets remaining low-probability given limited warming potential. Updated model runs and Schiphol observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 암스테르담에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
15°C 37%
14°C 25%
16°C 19%
13°C 7.8%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
25%
15°C
37%
16°C
26%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 37%
14°C 25%
16°C 19%
13°C 7.8%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
8°C or below
$316 거래량
<1%
9°C
$202 거래량
<1%
10°C
$144 거래량
<1%
11°C
$184 거래량
1%
12°C
$179 거래량
3%
13°C
$179 거래량
8%
14°C
$541 거래량
25%
15°C
$258 거래량
37%
16°C
$226 거래량
26%
17°C
$99 거래량
5%
18°C or higher
$127 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute place Amsterdam’s May 18 maximum near 15°C under moderate northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This keeps the 15°C bracket in the lead at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 14°C and 16°C, while historical May averages of 16–18°C provide context for the modest suppression. Minor model spread on afternoon sunshine duration and sea-breeze effects creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes, with higher brackets remaining low-probability given limited warming potential. Updated model runs and Schiphol observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$2,456종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute place Amsterdam’s May 18 maximum near 15°C under moderate northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This keeps the 15°C bracket in the lead at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 14°C and 16°C, while historical May averages of 16–18°C provide context for the modest suppression. Minor model spread on afternoon sunshine duration and sea-breeze effects creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes, with higher brackets remaining low-probability given limited warming potential. Updated model runs and Schiphol observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,456종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute place Amsterdam’s May 18 maximum near 15°C under moderate northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This keeps the 15°C bracket in the lead at 38% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 14°C and 16°C, while historical May averages of 16–18°C provide context for the modest suppression. Minor model spread on afternoon sunshine duration and sea-breeze effects creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes, with higher brackets remaining low-probability given limited warming potential. Updated model runs and Schiphol observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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