Environment Canada’s latest forecast pins Toronto’s May 16 high at 23°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly at 22–24°C (20–22% each) and reflecting GFS and ECMWF model consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario. Recent volatility—including a cool 16°C high on May 13 amid passing fronts—has shifted to stabilizing high pressure, but a 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 22°C via cloud-induced suppression or allowing 24°C if skies clear early for peak solar heating. Diurnal timing at official stations like Pearson Airport and urban heat effects further differentiate outcomes; watch tomorrow’s model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
23°C 27%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 27%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada’s latest forecast pins Toronto’s May 16 high at 23°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly at 22–24°C (20–22% each) and reflecting GFS and ECMWF model consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario. Recent volatility—including a cool 16°C high on May 13 amid passing fronts—has shifted to stabilizing high pressure, but a 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 22°C via cloud-induced suppression or allowing 24°C if skies clear early for peak solar heating. Diurnal timing at official stations like Pearson Airport and urban heat effects further differentiate outcomes; watch tomorrow’s model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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