Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 거래량
$88,964 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 거래량
$88,964 거래량
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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